Security expert warns of frozen conflicts in the Balkans and global instability

Elaborating on regional dynamics, Kalinic stated that the fallout from the breakup of Yugoslavia remains incomplete across multiple territories. "The war and the dissolution of Yugoslavia have not ended. Bosnia is completely unresolved, Montenegro is unresolved, Macedonia is unresolved, Southern Serbia is unresolved. You have heavy pressure for Vojvodina to go its own way. Ultimately, Kosovo is also unresolved," he observed. He asserted that Bosnia was structured under the Dayton Agreement to serve as the "soft underbelly of Europe," adding that should the war in Ukraine draw to a close, corporate capital interests seeking permanent warfare could trigger new conflicts elsewhere.

Reflecting on the 1990s wars, Kalinic criticized how history is framed in Serbia, stating that while the destruction of Vukovar is often ignored there, military operations were heavily directed from Belgrade. Regarding Operation Storm, he claimed Croatian forces stopped short of taking Banja Luka due to political constraints, remarking, "Serbs should build a monument to Tudjman. If it were not for Tudjman, there would be no Banja Luka. Croatian troops were 11 kilometres away from Banja Luka." On Srebrenica, he described the surrounding political circumstances harshly, asserting that accountability extends beyond convicted war criminal Ratko Mladic to include figures like Alija Izetbegovic and Slobodan Milosevic, while also criticizing Dutch peacekeepers for failing to act.

Turning to international affairs, Kalinic described Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as a "danger to Israel," placing personal and family interests ahead of national survival. He contended that Israel's long-term existence depends on establishing a Palestinian state backed by global powers including China, India, Russia, and the United States, alongside regional actors such as Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan. He warned that Israel faces existential threats and would deploy nuclear weapons if pushed to the brink, while predicting NATO would decline to invoke Article 5 in the event of a direct clash between Turkey and Israel in Syria.

Finally, Kalinic addressed the war in Ukraine, characterizing Ukrainian troops as "clay pigeons" caught between Russian forces and NATO. Despite viewing the Ukrainian military as the only serious force in Europe capable of defeating other European armies, he noted that Russia’s advantage is wearing them down. He highlighted catastrophic demographic shifts, pointing out that Ukraine’s population has plummeted from 51 million at the collapse of the Soviet Union to under 25 million today, concluding that the nation "can no longer recover from this."